Good Morning
Friends.
Thought of
the day – Relations never dies a natural death. It is always murdered by Attitude,
Ego, and Behaviour or Ignorance.
It was
day of taking some profit at higher level and before holiday in truncated week.
On Tuesday Nifty closed down 23 points, overall it was 75 point swing from 40+
positive to 35-.
Well
on day of holiday Asian market ended lower while US and EU were trading
positive. Today is the day of US shutdown progress, since process will take
after market hours I would like to say be cautious specially in slag hours and
if there’s any news on further development before market close then market is
set to move higher for sure.
On Tuesday sentiment was dampened by RBI FIR in
which KM Birla was accused in coal blocks and after enjoying gains for five
consecutive trading sessions, the Indian equity market took a breather on
Tuesday. Sentiment was also dampened by HDFC bank which reported quarterly
profit was lowest in last ten years. This was the first time in a decade that
HDFC Bank's net profit has fallen below 30%. Net profit rose to Rs19.8bn in the
quarter ended September 30 from about Rs15.6bn a year earlier.
Domestic
Front –
Even as corporate India reacts with shock and
horror over the Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI) naming industrialist
Kumar Mangalam Birla as an accused in an alleged faulty coal block allotment to
his company Hindalco, former bureaucrat PC Parakh, who is the co-accused, hit
out on the matter saying the responsibility was with Prime Minister Manmohan
Singh too.
The former coal secretary today said, “Prime Minister could have
overruled my decision; everyone was equally responsible in the matter”, adding
that he was not sure why the CBI had named him .
Global Front –
World Bank cur India forecast –
Close on the heels of the IMF, the World Bank today slashed India's
economic growth forecast for the current financial year to 4.7 percent from an
earlier projection of 6.1 percent.
"The report (India Development Update) expects
real gross domestic product (GDP) to expand by 4.7 percent (at factor cost)
this fiscal year before accelerating to 6.2 percent in FY2015," said
Martin Rama, the World Bank's chief economist for South Asia.
Fitch warns to cut US credit
rating -
Fitch Ratings warned on Tuesday it could cut the sovereign credit
rating of the United States from AAA citing the political brinkmanship over
raising the federal debt ceiling. "Although Fitch continues to believe
that the debt ceiling will be raised soon, the political brinkmanship and
reduced financing flexibility could increase the risk of a US default,"
the firm said in a statement.
MARKET
OUTLOOK –
As soon as Nity crossed our range of 6115 it seen selling
pressure. Overall market is not in mood of any sharp correction and hopefully
US will sort out its current shutdown problem. To my personal view – yes its
almost impossible that US govt. will fail to come on any resolution and may be many
experts will also thinking the same and that is the reason bears are sideline.
Still I would say be cautious in second half
specially in slag minutes, because participant will wait till last movement to
hear some positive, and if not then light heart people will go to take off some
cash.
Be cautious at levels 6100-6115 / 6200-6235 and nothing harm in taking
precautions, max to max you will lose few rupee earning but any mishap can
prevent you from big loss.
MG’s Nifty trading range –
R – 6194 – 6140/45 – 6230
S – 6020 – 5990 - 5840 – 5762 - 5670 – 5610 – 5552 - 5516
Nifty swing band is 5600-6100 and 4900-5600
ECONOMIC EVENTS / RESULT
CALENDAR –
17 Oct – US senate voting decision, Result – Axis Bank, HCL Tech.
18 Oct – Result – L&T
19 Oct – Result – Fedral Bank, Ultratech Cement
21 Oct – Result – KTK Bank, Asian Paints, Tata Coffee, ZEEL
22 Oct – Result – Cairn India, IBR, Wipro, Yes Bank
STOCK
OUTLOOK -
(Stock that can see some good moves either
side)
Hindalco
Shares of Hindalco plunged sharply in early trades
after report stated that The Central Bureau of Investigation filed a first
information report against Kumar Mangalam Birla, chairman of the Aditya Birla
group, as well as Hindalco Industries in the case related to the allotment of
captive coal blocks between 1993 and 2010. However later during the day the
stock erased all its intra-day losses to end with smart gains, up 2% and closed
at Rs112.
Idea: 600Cr Penalty –
Report said that the telecom department committee has recommended
penalty of Rs 600 crore on Idea Cellular for its merger with Spice Communications.
Four-member committee headed by member, technology, Anil Kaushal,
had been set up to review telecom department's previous decision of issuing
show-cause notices of Rs 300 crore for merging six of Spice's telecom permits
with Idea Cellular, says media reports.
According to the committee, Idea Cellular went ahead with
the proposed merger with Spice despite the telecom department's clear
instructions in January 2010.
Despite its permits, Idea Cellular acquired a 41.09 per cent stake
in Spice, the committee has concluded.
RInfra will add to Nifty 50 –
Shares of Reliance Infrastructure Ltd was down 0.11% after report
said that National Stock Exchange added the infrastructure and power utility
company to its Nifty Midcap 50 index with effect from Nov. 29.
The stock is currently trading at Rs417, down Rs0.45. The stock
has hit a high of Rs426 and a low of Rs416.
Report said that Reliance Infrastructure will replace Vijaya Bankin
the Midcap index.
MBC PL –
Oct PL = -1000 + 250 = -750
– 1250 = -2K
Open Call –
Ashokley
17.5CE @0.7 SL Hold/0.45 TG- 18.5 in Cash
============ Join MG on
FaceBook ============
For live market commentary
& stock advice you can join MG on FaceBook.
FB Page – www.facebook.com/mudraguru.india
(Please
PM for membership fee after sending request)
No comments:
Post a Comment